UPDATED: 11-04-25 19:23 PDT

cfp Memphis 1
  
Memphis               
W-L: ( 8- 1) PR = 80.7749

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 830 H Chattanooga 45-10 906 A Georgia St SUN ( 1- 7, 55.5) 38-16 913 A Troy SUN ( 6- 3, 68.1) 28- 7 920 H Arkansas SEC ( 2- 7, 77.4) 32-31 927 A Fla Atlantic AME ( 3- 5, 64.0) 55-26 1004 H Tulsa AME ( 2- 6, 61.1) 45- 7 1018 A UAB AME ( 3- 5, 62.8) 24-31 1025 H So Florida AME ( 6- 2, 86.4) 34-31 1031 A Rice AME ( 4- 5, 61.2) 38-14 1107 H Tulane AME ( 6- 2, 73.0) 1115 A Ea Carolina AME ( 5- 3, 77.4) 1127 H Navy AME ( 7- 1, 69.6)

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   906 A Georgia St             38-16      22    21           0.00
   913 A Troy                   28- 7      21     9    +++   11.21
   920 H Arkansas               32-31       1     7    ---   -6.35
   927 A Fla Atlantic           55-26      29    13    +++    7.18
  1004 H Tulsa                  45- 7      38    24           0.00
  1018 A UAB                    24-31      -7    14    ---  -21.07
  1025 H So Florida             34-31       3    -2    ++     4.70
  1031 A Rice                   38-14      24    16    ++     4.32

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   920 H Arkansas               32-31       1     7    ---   -6.35
  1018 A UAB                    24-31      -7    14    ---  -21.07

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   913 A Troy                   28- 7      21     9    +++   11.21
   927 A Fla Atlantic           55-26      29    13    +++    7.18
  1025 H So Florida             34-31       3    -2    ++     4.70
  1031 A Rice                   38-14      24    16    ++     4.32

Memphis Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Boston Col ` Memphis   Memphis
California Memphis   Memphis
Clemson Memphis tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Memphis
Duke Memphis   Memphis
Florida St Memphis   Memphis
Georgia Tech Memphis   Memphis
Louisville Louisville   Louisville
Miami Miami tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Miami
UNC Memphis   Memphis
NC St Memphis   Memphis
Pittsburgh Pittsburgh   Pittsburgh
SMU Memphis   Memphis
Stanford Memphis   Memphis
Syracuse Memphis   Memphis
Virginia Virginia   Virginia
Va Tech Memphis   Memphis
Wake Forest Memphis   Memphis
Army Memphis insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Memphis
Charlotte Memphis Memphis   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Ea Carolina Memphis tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Memphis
Fla Atlantic Memphis Memphis  
Navy Memphis insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 4- 0) Memphis
No Texas Memphis insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Memphis
Rice Memphis Memphis  
So Florida Memphis Memphis  
Temple Memphis tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Memphis
Tulane Memphis tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Memphis
Tulsa Memphis Memphis  
UAB UAB UAB  
UTSA Memphis tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Memphis
Arizona Memphis   Memphis
Arizona St Memphis   Memphis
BYU BYU   BYU
Baylor Memphis   Memphis
Cincinnati Memphis   Memphis
Colorado Memphis   Memphis
Houston Memphis tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Memphis
Iowa St Memphis   Memphis
Kansas Memphis   Memphis
Kansas St Memphis   Memphis
Oklahoma St Memphis insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Memphis
TCU TCU   TCU
Texas Tech Texas Tech   Texas Tech
UCF Memphis   Memphis
Utah Utah   Utah
We Virginia Memphis   Memphis
Illinois Illinois   Illinois
Indiana Indiana   Indiana
Iowa Iowa   Iowa
Maryland Memphis tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Memphis
Michigan Memphis   Memphis
Michigan St Memphis   Memphis
Minnesota Memphis   Memphis
Nebraska Memphis   Memphis
Northwestern Memphis   Memphis
Ohio St Ohio St   Ohio St
Oregon Oregon   Oregon
Penn St Memphis   Memphis
Purdue Memphis   Memphis
Rutgers Memphis   Memphis
UCLA Memphis   Memphis
USC USC   USC
Washington Washington   Washington
Wisconsin Memphis   Memphis
Florida Intl Memphis tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Memphis
Jacksonv. St Memphis   Memphis
Kennesaw St Memphis   Memphis
Liberty Memphis   Memphis
La Tech Memphis   Memphis
Middle Tenn Memphis   Memphis
NM St Memphis tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Memphis
SHouston St Memphis   Memphis
UTEP Memphis   Memphis
We Kentucky Memphis   Memphis
UMass Memphis   Memphis
Notre Dame Notre Dame tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Notre Dame
UConn Memphis tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Memphis
Akron Memphis tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Memphis
Ball St Memphis   Memphis
Bowl. Green Memphis   Memphis
Buffalo Memphis insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Memphis
Cen Michigan Memphis   Memphis
Ea Michigan Memphis   Memphis
Kent State Memphis   Memphis
MiamiOH Memphis   Memphis
No Illinois Memphis   Memphis
Ohio Memphis   Memphis
Toledo Memphis   Memphis
We Michigan Memphis   Memphis
Air Force Memphis   Memphis
Boise State Memphis insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Memphis
Colorado St Memphis   Memphis
Fresno St Memphis   Memphis
Hawaii Memphis   Memphis
Nevada Memphis   Memphis
New Mexico Memphis   Memphis
San Diego St Memphis   Memphis
San Jose St Memphis   Memphis
UNLV Memphis   Memphis
Utah St Memphis   Memphis
Wyoming Memphis   Memphis
Oregon St Memphis   Memphis
Wash St Memphis   Memphis
Alabama Alabama   Alabama
Arkansas Memphis Memphis  
Auburn Memphis tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Memphis
Florida Memphis insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Memphis
Georgia Georgia   Georgia
Kentucky Memphis   Memphis
LSU Memphis   Memphis
Missouri Missouri   Missouri
Miss St Memphis tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Memphis
Oklahoma Oklahoma   Oklahoma
Ole Miss Ole Miss tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Ole Miss
So Carolina Memphis   Memphis
Tennessee Tennessee insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Tennessee
Texas Texas   Texas
Texas A&M Texas A&M tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Texas A&M
Vanderbilt Vanderbilt tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Vanderbilt
App St Memphis tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Memphis
Arkansas State Memphis insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Memphis
Coastal Car Memphis   Memphis
Georgia So Memphis tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Memphis
Georgia St Memphis Memphis  
J Madison J Madison tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) J Madison
Louisiana Memphis Memphis   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Marshall Memphis   Memphis
Old Dominion Memphis   Memphis
So Miss Memphis   Memphis
So Alabama Memphis insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Memphis
Texas State Memphis insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Memphis
Troy Memphis Memphis  
La-Monroe Memphis insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Memphis

PowerWise = 106


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 8.46

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Georgia St      ( 1- 7, 55.5)    38-16      -44.44       9.55       3.93         1.06            28.52
   0 A Troy            ( 6- 3, 68.1)    28- 7      -31.84      22.15       3.93         1.06            55.17
   0 H Arkansas        ( 2- 7, 77.4)    32-31      -22.55      31.44      -3.93         1.06            58.21
   0 A Fla Atlantic    ( 3- 5, 64.0)    55-26      -35.87      18.12       3.93         1.06            46.65
   0 H Tulsa           ( 2- 6, 61.1)    45- 7      -38.77      15.22      -3.93         1.06            23.88
   0 A UAB             ( 3- 5, 62.8)    24-31      -37.13      16.86       3.93         1.06           -17.56
   0 H So Florida      ( 6- 2, 86.4)    34-31      -13.49      40.50      -3.93         1.06            77.36
   0 A Rice            ( 4- 5, 61.2)    38-14      -38.73      15.26       3.93         1.06            40.60
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       312.82

winning pts = 330.3776 losing points = -17.5591

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------